Interpreting Probability Controversies and Developments in the Early Twentieth Century
نویسنده
چکیده
A catalog record for this book is available from the British Library. Interpreting probability : controversies and developments in the early twentieth century / David Howie. p. cm. – (Cambridge studies in probability, induction, and decision theory) Includes bibliographical references and index. Contents Acknowledgments page xi 1 Introduction 1 1.1 The meaning of probability 1 1.2 The history of probability 2 1.3 Scope of this book 4 1.4 Methods and argument 5 1.5 Synopsis and aims 11 2 Probability up to the Twentieth Century 14 2.1 Introduction 14 2.2 Early applications of the probability calculus 15 2.3 Resistance to the calculation of uncertainty 17 2.4 The doctrine of chances 19 2.5 Inverse probability 23 2.6 Laplacean probability 27 2.7 The eclipse of Laplacean probability 28 2.8 Social statistics 33 2.9 The rise of the frequency interpretation of probability 36 2.10 Opposition to social statistics and probabilistic methods 38 2.11 Probability theory in the sciences: evolution and biometrics 41 2.12 The interpretation of probability around the end of the nineteenth century 47 3 R.A. Fisher and Statistical Probability 52 3.1 R.A. Fisher's early years 52 3.2 Evolution – the biometricians versus the Mendelians 53 3.3 Fisher's early work 56 3.4 The clash with Pearson 59 vii 3.5 Fisher's rejection of inverse probability 61 3.5.1 Fisher's new version of probability 61 3.
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